Reference

GWP sets

A global warming potential says how much warming one kilogram of a gas causes compared with one kilogram of CO₂ over a set period. It is how methane, nitrous oxide and refrigerants end up in a single CO₂e total, and the choice of set changes that total.

What a GWP set is

Each IPCC assessment report publishes a fresh set of GWPs as the science improves. Slate stores each one as a set you can select, and every calculated record names the set it used.

CO₂e = mCO₂ × 1 + mCH₄ × GWPCH₄ + mN₂O × GWPN₂O + …
mᵍ
mass of gas g emitted, in kg
GWPᵍ
the gas's GWP in the chosen set
CO₂e
the combined figure, in kg

For example, a boiler that burned enough natural gas to emit 1,000 kg CO₂, 0.1 kg CH₄ and 0.01 kg N₂O reports 1,000 + 0.1 × 28 + 0.01 × 265 = 1,005.45 kg CO₂e under AR5, and 1,000 + 0.1 × 29.8 + 0.01 × 273 = 1,005.71 kg CO₂e under AR6. The difference is small for combustion and large for anything dominated by methane, such as livestock or landfill.

The sets in Slate

SetHorizonPublishedCO₂CH₄N₂OHFC-134aSF₆NF₃Gases
IPCC AR2100-year1995121310———3
IPCC AR4100-year2007125298———3
IPCC AR5100-year20141282651,30023,50016,100102
IPCC AR6100-year2021129.8 fossil · 27.0 non-fossil2731,53024,30017,40082
IPCC AR620-year2021182.5 fossil · 79.7 non-fossil2734,14018,20013,40033
IPCC AR6500-year2021110.0 fossil · 7.2 non-fossil13043629,00018,20033
Kyoto-basket values, kg CO₂e per kg of gas. “Gases” is how many gases Slate holds a value for in that set.
SetWhen it matters
IPCC AR2, 100-yearThe basis inside Ember's figures.
IPCC AR4, 100-yearEmbedded in EPA Hub Table 9 waste factors.
IPCC AR5, 100-yearSlate's default. Embedded in DEFRA, ECCC and WARM figures.
IPCC AR6, 100-yearThe current assessment. Splits methane by origin.
IPCC AR6, 20-yearFor scenario work on short-lived gases. Not for inventories.
IPCC AR6, 500-yearLong-horizon comparison only.

AR6 splits methane

AR6 is the first report to give methane two values: 29.8 for fossil and 27.0 for non-fossil (100-year). Oxidising fossil methane adds carbon to the atmosphere that was locked underground; oxidising methane from cattle or a landfill returns carbon that was recently in the air.

So under AR6 Slate needs to know where the methane came from. It reads that from the publisher, which marks its biomass fuels separately, never from a fuel's name. If a calculation can't tell, it stops and says so instead of picking a value: the two are 10% apart.

GWPs inside publishers' figures

Some publishers apply GWPs themselves and publish CO₂e directly. Slate never applies another set on top, which would count methane twice. Those figures stay on the publisher's vintage:

PublisherPublishesGWP basis inside
UK DEFRACO₂eAR5
Canada ECCCCO₂eAR5
EPA WARMCO₂eAR5
EPA Hub Table 9 (waste)CO₂eAR4
EmberCO₂eAR2
EPA Hub, other tablesGas massesYour chosen set
IPCCGas massesYour chosen set

Mixed vintages

An organisation on AR6 with UK and US sites reports its EPA rows on AR6 and its DEFRA rows on AR5. Neither is wrong, but the total isn't on one basis. Slate flags every affected row so it shows up in review, and keeps that record even if you turn the warning off.

Choosing and changing a set

AR5 100-year is the default. The GHG Protocol and national inventories report on a 100-year horizon; the 20-year set is for scenario work, where methane cuts look very different, and isn't meant for an inventory.

Switching sets restates every methane and nitrous oxide figure you've published. To protect figures an auditor has already signed off, the first calculation in a reporting year pins the set it used, and that year stays on it. Rows whose CO₂e came pre-calculated from a publisher don't pin anything, because no set was applied to them.

Refrigerant blends

Neither AR5 nor AR6 lists blended refrigerants such as R-410A or R-404A. Slate holds 51 blends. For AR6 it derives each blend's GWP from its ASHRAE Standard 34 composition, as the mass-weighted sum of its components' AR6 values, but only after checking that the same method reproduces the blend's published AR5 figure.

Note

49 of 50 blends pass that check. R-424A doesn't, so it has no AR6 value, and a leak of it under AR6 stops with the gas named instead of borrowing its AR5 figure. A fugitive figure is mass × GWP and nothing else, so a missing GWP has to stop the calculation.

Sources

AR6 major gases come from Table 7.15, the only table with the fossil and non-fossil methane split; halocarbons come from Supplementary Table 7.SM.7. AR5 values come from Table 8.A.1, the same table EPA's Hub cites, so the two agree by construction.